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Staal Jorpeland vs Vag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
0 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Wahlstrom C.
45'
Veland J.

AI Match Summary

Staal Jorpeland host Vag in the Division 3 - Group 4. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Staal Jorpeland at 2.39 goals for, 2.21 against; Vag at 1.66 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Staal Jorpeland have won 1 to Vag's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.94) point toward Staal Jorpeland. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Staal Jorpeland
20%
Draws
52%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Staal Jorpeland come out ahead of Vag on wins alone.
  • Vag are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vag have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 10%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staal Jorpeland Vag
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.39 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Staal Jorpeland
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Staal Jorpeland vs Vag
1:3
May 24, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Staal Jorpeland
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Wahlstrom C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staal Jorpeland 22 / 100
Vag 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staal Jorpeland Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staal Jorpeland found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Vag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Staal Jorpeland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Staal Jorpeland VS Vag
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Staal Jorpeland

(Home)
02 Oct
Hinna
2 : 4
Staal Jorpeland
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
21 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Viking 2
12 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Staal Jorpeland
05 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
0 : 2
Mandalskameratene
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Vag

(Away)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
26 Sept
Viking 2
1 : 2
Vag
19 Sept
Vag
2 : 2
Brodd
12 Sept
Haugesund 2
0 : 3
Vag
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
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