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Stabaek U19 vs Aalesund U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Afrim B.
16' Event
Cedergren A.
28' Event
Afrim B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Stabaek U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Stabaek U19
15%
Draws
51%
Aalesund U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Stabaek U19's 2.63 goals per match outpaces what Aalesund U19 have produced (1.73).
  • Stabaek U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Stabaek U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Stabaek U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Aalesund U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek U19 Aalesund U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Stabaek U19 vs Aalesund U19
4:0
Oct 2, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Aalesund U19 vs Stabaek U19
3:2
Sep 25, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Stabaek U19 vs Aalesund U19
8:0
Mar 9, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Aalesund U19 vs Stabaek U19
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Stabaek U19 vs Aalesund U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Afrim B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cedergren A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72

Aalesund U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek U19 84 / 100
Aalesund U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek U19 Aalesund U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek U19 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Aalesund U19 conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stabaek U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek U19 VS Aalesund U19
3.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek U19

(Home)
06 Aug
Stabaek U19
2 : 4
Fredrikstad U19
29 Jul
Fredrikstad U19
2 : 1
Stabaek U19
30 Mar
Kfum Oslo U19
1 : 4
Stabaek U19
22 Mar
Stabaek U19
2 : 1
Odds BK U19
18 Mar
Sandefjord U19
4 : 1
Stabaek U19
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund U19

(Away)
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
29 Apr
Haugesund U19
1 : 2
Aalesund U19
22 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 3
Aalesund U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Odds BK U19 2
Stabaek U19 3
Aalesund U19 7
Haugesund U19 6
Valerenga U19 1
Lillestrom U19 3
Tromso U19 4
Brann U19 6
Semi-finals
Stabaek U19 10
Aalesund U19 3
Lillestrom U19 4
Brann U19 5
Final
Stabaek U19 1
Brann U19 2