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Stabaek vs Baerum

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Boesen O.
70' Event
Oppedal O.
86' Event
Tobiassen B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stabaek and Baerum finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Stabaek
15%
Draws
65%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Baerum haven't matched Stabaek's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Baerum taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stabaek have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek Baerum
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.33 3.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Baerum
3:0
Aug 13, 2025 NM Cup
Baerum vs Stabaek
0:5
Apr 24, 2024 NM Cup
Baerum vs Stabaek
0:5
Jan 20, 2023 Club Friendly
Baerum vs Stabaek
0:2
Jan 28, 2017 Club Friendly
Baerum vs Stabaek
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Boesen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oppedal O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Baerum Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Baerum conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Stabaek went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek VS Baerum
3.13 Goals Scored 3.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek

(Home)
16 Sept
Pors
2 : 1
Stabaek
12 Sept
Bryne
2 : 0
Stabaek
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Stabaek
26 Aug
Stabaek
4 : 2
Ranheim
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Baerum

(Away)
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
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