Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek vs Kongsvinger

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sanyang A.
Assist: Solnordal O.
45'
Dybevik A.
46'
Sub
Sanyang A. In: Dahlby M.
Out: Sanyang A.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Stabaek and Kongsvinger finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stabaek
15%
Draws
38%
Kongsvinger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stabaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kongsvinger haven't matched Stabaek's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Stabaek a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek Kongsvinger
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.5 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Kongsvinger
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Kongsvinger
2:3
Aug 10, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Stabaek
2:1
May 31, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Kongsvinger
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Kongsvinger vs Stabaek
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanyang A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dahlby M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Kongsvinger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 83 / 100
Kongsvinger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek Kongsvinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Kongsvinger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Stabaek stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek VS Kongsvinger
3 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek

(Home)
16 Aug
Egersund
0 : 4
Stabaek
08 Aug
Stabaek
4 : 3
Lyn
02 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stabaek
27 Jul
Stabaek
6 : 0
Hodd
03 Jul
Ranheim
2 : 5
Stabaek
Page 1 of 6

Kongsvinger

(Away)
16 Aug
Kongsvinger
3 : 2
Haugesund
09 Aug
Asane
1 : 2
Kongsvinger
02 Aug
Kongsvinger
1 : 3
Strommen
26 Jul
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 6
Kongsvinger
03 Jul
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Sogndal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stabaek 18 12 3 3 48:19 39
2 Kongsvinger 18 12 3 3 48:28 39
3 Haugesund 18 12 1 5 57:36 37
4 Stromsgodset 18 10 5 3 47:26 35
5 Hodd 18 9 3 6 32:32 30
6 Odds BK 18 8 5 5 35:28 29
7 Egersund 18 8 2 8 31:32 26
8 Bryne 18 8 2 8 25:27 26
9 Ranheim 18 7 2 9 44:45 23
10 Sogndal 18 6 3 9 32:43 21
11 Sandnes Ulf 18 6 2 10 26:34 20
12 Lyn 18 6 2 10 29:38 20
13 Moss 18 5 3 10 29:41 18
14 Asane 18 5 2 11 27:40 16
15 Raufoss 18 5 1 12 22:43 16
16 Strommen 18 4 3 11 25:45 15
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)