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Stabaek vs Lyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Dahlby M.
Assist: Aamodt A.
18' Event
Nilsen H.
42' Event
Johansen M.
Assist: Nilsen H.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Stabaek and Lyn finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Stabaek
15%
Draws
59%
Lyn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Stabaek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%
Lyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek Lyn
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.29 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Lyn
4:3
May 1, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Stabaek
0:4
Nov 2, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Lyn
1:5
Apr 6, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Stabaek
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Stabaek
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahlby M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wendt W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 30 / 100
Lyn 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek Lyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stabaek scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Lyn let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Stabaek remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek VS Lyn
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek

(Home)
03 Oct
Haugesund
2 : 0
Stabaek
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Pors
2 : 1
Stabaek
12 Sept
Bryne
2 : 0
Stabaek
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
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Lyn

(Away)
04 Oct
Bryne
1 : 0
Lyn
20 Sept
Lyn
1 : 4
Ranheim
16 Sept
Gamle Oslo
1 : 3
Lyn
13 Sept
Hodd
0 : 2
Lyn
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)