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Stadium Background

Stabaek vs Sogndal

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Wendt W.

AI Match Summary

Stabaek in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Stabaek
6%
Draws
4%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stabaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stabaek lately — more wins on the board than Sogndal.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Stabaek taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 13%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek Sogndal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Stabaek
2:2
Mar 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Sogndal
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Sogndal
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Stabaek
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Stabaek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendt W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sogndal Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 84 / 100
Sogndal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek Sogndal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stabaek scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Sogndal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Stabaek went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek VS Sogndal
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%