Sport Picks
Stade Briochin vs Orleans
France
National 2025/2026 Stade Fred-Aubert, Saint-Brieuc 
Match Events
1'
1'
El Khoumisti F.
Assist: Diako M.
15'
15'
El Khoumisti F.
Assist: Sanchez Da Silva F.
22'
22'
Beghin G.
AI Match Summary
The National 2025/2026 game between Stade Briochin and Orleans finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orleans.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stade Briochin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Orleans carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Stade Briochin a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 68%
Orleans Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Briochin | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Orleans
1:3
Sep 26, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Stade Briochin
3:2
Mar 3, 2023 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Stade Briochin
1:3
Sep 23, 2022 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Orleans
1:1
Feb 18, 2022 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Stade Briochin
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stade Briochin Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67
Orleans Compare
Top Goalscorer El Khoumisti F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez Da Silva F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stade Briochin 95 / 100
Orleans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stade Briochin Orleans
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stade Briochin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stade Briochin has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Stade Briochin scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Orleans conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Stade Briochin VS Orleans
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Briochin
(Home) 19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4 Stade Briochin
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2 Granville
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0 Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0 St. Colomban Locmine
22 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 0 Le Poire Sur Vie
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2 Granville
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0 St. Colomban Locmine
22 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 0 Le Poire Sur Vie
05 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 2 Brest
09 May
Stade Briochin
3 : 0 Quevilly
Page 1 of 3
Orleans
(Away) 19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0 Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4 Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1 Orleans
29 Aug
Orleans
0 : 1 La Roche Vendee
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2 Orleans
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0 Orleans
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1 Orleans
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2 Orleans
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2 Orleans
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2 Orleans
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury-Merogis | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
