Sport Picks
Stade Gabesien vs Djelma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
10'
10'
Boussaidi K.
41'
41'
Jerbi W.
47'
47'
Jerbi W.
AI Match Summary
Stade Gabesien in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Gabesien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Gabesien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Djelma haven't matched Stade Gabesien's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Stade Gabesien's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 20%
Djelma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Gabesien | Djelma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.46 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2026 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Stade Gabesien
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Djelma
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Djelma
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Stade Gabesien
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Stade Gabesien
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stade Gabesien Compare
Top Goalscorer Jerbi W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Boussaidi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73
Djelma Compare
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stade Gabesien 40 / 100
Djelma 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stade Gabesien Djelma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stade Gabesien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Stade Gabesien scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Djelma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Stade Gabesien has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stade Gabesien VS Djelma
1.63 Goals Scored 0.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Gabesien
(Home) 04 Oct
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 Moknine
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 Moknine
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
19 Apr
Stade Gabesien
4 : 3 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 3
Djelma
(Away) 12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Korba
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1 Djelma
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0 Djelma
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Korba
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1 Djelma
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Mar
Gafsa
2 : 1 Djelma
21 Feb
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 1 Djelma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
