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Stade Malien vs AS Sofa

Mali Mali

Coupe du Mali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 9-0. The second leg ended 9-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Stade Malien
25%
Draws
35%
AS Sofa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Malien carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Stade Malien's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Stade Malien have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stade Malien, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 17.2%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%
AS Sofa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien AS Sofa
Matches Played 29 1
Wins 16 0
Draws 7 0
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.34 0
Goals Conceded 0.59 9
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Coupe du Mali
Stade Malien vs AS Sofa
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 95 / 100
AS Sofa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien AS Sofa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AS Sofa conceded in 100% of 1 recent games.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Stade Malien has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stade Malien scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS AS Sofa
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 9
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 6

AS Sofa

(Away)
07 May
Stade Malien
9 : 0
AS Sofa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Stade Malien 9
AS Sofa 0
USFAS Bamako 0
Diarra 1
Real Bamako 1
Mali Coura 0
Djoliba 3
Tombouctou 1
Semi-finals
Stade Malien 0
Diarra 1
Real Bamako 0
Djoliba 1
Final
Diarra 0
Djoliba 2