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Stade Montois vs Blagnac

France France

Coupe de France 2004/2005
Stade Montois Logo

Stade Montois

2 - 1
FT
Blagnac Logo

Blagnac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Stade Montois advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Stade Montois
35%
Draws
39%
Blagnac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Blagnac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Blagnac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Blagnac arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stade Montois, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Stade Montois Clean Sheet 15%
Blagnac Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Montois Blagnac
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 2 6
Draws 7 0
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.84 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2004 Coupe de France
Stade Montois vs Blagnac
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Montois 35 / 100
Blagnac 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Montois Blagnac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blagnac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blagnac let in goals in 75% of their last 16 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stade Montois stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Blagnac registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Montois VS Blagnac
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Montois

(Home)
28 May
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
21 May
Nantes II
2 : 2
Stade Montois
14 May
Stade Montois
0 : 1
Colomiers
30 Apr
Andrezieux
3 : 3
Stade Montois
23 Apr
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Chamalieres
Page 1 of 7

Blagnac

(Away)
16 Nov
Bassin d'Arcachon
4 : 1
Blagnac
09 Dec
US Revel
2 : 1
Blagnac
18 Nov
Blagnac
1 : 0
Bayonne
07 Jan
Blagnac
0 : 1
Niort
04 Dec
Blagnac
1 : 0
Red Star
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Auxerre -
TBD -
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Calais 3
Tarbes 1
Montlucon 0
Stade Briochin 1
Vannes 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
Istres -
US Langueux 2
Orleans 1
TBD -
PSG -
Nantes -
TBD -
Pau 0
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 1
Paris FC 1
JA Drancy 0
Amiens SC 0
Saumur Olympique 2
Blois Foot 41 1
Change 0
Pierrots Vauban 0
Epinal 3
Avranches 1
Servel Lannion 0
Saint Neuves Maisons 0
Boulogne 2
Sochaux -
TBD -
EP Manosque 1
Bastia 0
Rodez 1
La Rochelle 0
TBD -
Metz -
Angers 2
Limoges 0
TBD -
Marseille -
Troyes 1
Besancon RC 0
Bayonne 2
Albi 4
Nice -
TBD -
Dunkerque 0
Beauvais 1
Schiltigheim 1
Creteil 0
Saint-Omer 0
Reims 1
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
Arras 0
Nancy 1
St Etienne -
TBD -
Andrezieux 1
Nimes 2
Monaco -
TBD -
EP Manosque 1
Seyssinet 2
La Fleche 2
Choisy Au Bac 0
Stade Montois 0
Libourne 2
Caen -
TBD -
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 0
Mulhouse 3
Brest 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Lyon -
TBD -
Les Lilas 1
Viry-Chatillon 2
Gambsheim 4
La Chapelle 0
TBD -
Toulouse -
Toulon 2
Cassis Carnoux 1
US Semnoz Vieugy 0
Montceau 1
Vesoul 7
FC Sainte - Marquerite 1
Domerat 0
Clermont 2
Grenoble 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
TBD -
Chateauroux -
Rapid de Menton 3
Frontignan AC 0
Montpellier 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens -
TBD -
Avion 0
Dizier 1
Le Mans 1
Bois-Guillaume 0
TBD -
Lille -
Quevilly 2
Le Havre 1
La Roche Vendee 0
Guingamp 4
Haguenau 1
Gueugnon 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Romorantin 2
Montagnarde 2
Saint-Malo 1
Vitre 0
Pontivy 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
SC Feignies (inactive) 2
Sedan 3
1/32-finals
Auxerre 1
Calais 0
Tarbes 0
Vannes 3
Bordeaux 2
Istres 0
US Langueux 1
PSG 6
Nantes 3
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
Paris FC 2
Saumur Olympique 3
Blois Foot 41 1
Epinal 0
Avranches 0
Boulogne 1
Sochaux 1
Bastia 0
Rodez 1
Metz 2
Angers 3
Marseille 2
Troyes 1
Albi 3
Nice 4
Beauvais 0
Schiltigheim 0
Reims 2
AC Ajaccio 2
Nancy 1
St Etienne 2
Nimes 3
Monaco 7
Seyssinet 0
La Fleche 1
Libourne 2
Caen 2
Mulhouse 0
Brest 0
Rennes 1
Lyon 2
Viry-Chatillon 0
Gambsheim 0
Toulouse 3
Toulon 3
Montceau 0
Vesoul 1
Clermont 2
Grenoble 3
Chateauroux 2
Rapid de Menton 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens 4
Dizier 0
Le Mans 1
Lille 2
Quevilly 1
Guingamp 0
Haguenau 1
Romorantin 2
Montagnarde 2
Pontivy 0
Strasbourg 1
Sedan 3
1/16-finals
Auxerre 2
Vannes 0
Bordeaux 1
PSG 3
Nantes 2
Saumur Olympique 0
Blois Foot 41 0
Boulogne 4
Sochaux 1
Metz 0
Angers 0
Albi 2
Nice 3
Reims 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Nimes 2
Monaco 4
Libourne 2
Caen 0
Rennes 2
Lyon 2
Toulouse 1
Toulon 0
Clermont 1
Grenoble 2
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens 2
Lille 3
Quevilly 1
Romorantin 0
Montagnarde 0
Sedan 4
1/8-finals
Auxerre 3
PSG 2
Nantes 2
Boulogne 3
Sochaux 3
Albi 0
Nice 0
Nimes 4
Monaco 1
Rennes 0
Lyon 1
Clermont 2
Grenoble 3
Lille 1
Quevilly 0
Sedan 2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre 2
Boulogne 1
Sochaux 3
Nimes 4
Monaco 1
Clermont 0
Grenoble 1
Sedan 2
Semi-finals
Auxerre 2
Nimes 1
Monaco 0
Sedan 1
Final
Auxerre 2
Sedan 1