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Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile-Carouge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Correia O.
51'
Strohbach I.
57'
Sub
Moulin P. In: Mandaka J.
Out: Moulin P.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between Stade Nyonnais and Etoile-Carouge finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Stade Nyonnais
20%
Draws
16%
Etoile-Carouge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Nyonnais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Etoile-Carouge come out ahead of Stade Nyonnais on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stade Nyonnais's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Etoile-Carouge
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 3 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile-Carouge
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais
0:0
Jan 23, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile-Carouge
2:2
Nov 7, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile-Carouge
0:0
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 42 / 100
Etoile-Carouge 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Etoile-Carouge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Nyonnais scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Etoile-Carouge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Etoile-Carouge lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Etoile-Carouge
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
09 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 1
Aarau
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
Page 1 of 6

Etoile-Carouge

(Away)
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 7 3 0 20:3 24
2 Yverdon 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
3 Winterthur 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Kriens 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
5 Xamax 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
6 Aarau 10 3 3 4 15:18 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 10 3 1 6 15:19 10
8 Wil 10 2 4 4 16:22 10
9 Etoile-Carouge 10 2 3 5 8:14 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 1 2 7 8:24 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)