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Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Colovray Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Diomande B.
Assist: Simo J.
7'
Ndema L.
15'
Jaquenoud L.

AI Match Summary

Stade Nyonnais in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Nyonnais.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Stade Nyonnais
11%
Draws
80%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Rapperswil-Jona have won more games recently than Stade Nyonnais.
  • Win probability leans Rapperswil-Jona's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 3 13
Draws 12 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Nyonnais
2:1
Mar 20, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Nyonnais
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:0
Apr 19, 2023 Promotion League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Nyonnais
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Top Goalscorer Diomande B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manquant J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 12 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Rapperswil-Jona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Stade Nyonnais scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Stade Nyonnais remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Rapperswil-Jona
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaduz36256575:4181
2Aarau36255677:4780
3Yverdon36207975:4867
4Lausanne Ouchy361481459:5150
5Xamax361471555:5649
6Rapperswil-Jona361422052:6244
7Etoile-Carouge3610101646:5440
8Wil3610101639:5540
9Stade Nyonnais365131833:6028
10Bellinzona36582340:7723