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Stadium Background

Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Lang N.
Assist: Schwizer D.
29'
Schwizer D.
34'
Simani D.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Stade Nyonnais and Vaduz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Stade Nyonnais
30%
Draws
47%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vaduz come out ahead of Stade Nyonnais on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vaduz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 12%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Vaduz
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 2 20
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.89 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Stade Nyonnais
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Stade Nyonnais
3:0
May 2, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Beyer B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lang N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 30 / 100
Vaduz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Nyonnais's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vaduz has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vaduz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Vaduz
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
07 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
31 Jul
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
24 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
2 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Jul
Bulle
4 : 4
Stade Nyonnais
04 Jul
Servette
1 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
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Vaduz

(Away)
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2
Inter Turku
09 Aug
Sion
3 : 2
Vaduz
06 Aug
Inter Turku
2 : 1
Vaduz
02 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 3
St. Gallen
30 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
0 : 2
Vaduz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)