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Stade Nyonnais vs Wil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Nyonnais host Wil in the Challenge League. Wil go into this one as the clear favorite. Wil have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Stade Nyonnais have conceded 2.36 and scored 0.89. Head-to-head, Stade Nyonnais have won 1 to Wil's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.25 - 2.25) back Wil to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Stade Nyonnais
20%
Draws
58%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Wil have won more games recently than Stade Nyonnais.
  • Win probability leans Wil's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%
Wil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Wil
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.36 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Stade Nyonnais
5:0
May 1, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Wil
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Stade Nyonnais
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Stade Nyonnais
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Wil
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 18 / 100
Wil 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wil has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Stade Nyonnais's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Stade Nyonnais remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Wil
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
23 Oct
Winterthur
4 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
16 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 3
Basel
09 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 1
Aarau
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
Page 1 of 6

Wil

(Away)
23 Oct
Wil
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
17 Oct
Bulle
0 : 1
Wil
09 Oct
Kriens
1 : 1
Wil
01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0
Wil
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 11 7 4 0 20:3 25
2 Yverdon 11 6 4 1 21:11 22
3 Winterthur 11 6 3 2 23:11 21
4 Xamax 11 5 1 5 15:17 16
5 Kriens 11 4 3 4 19:17 15
6 Aarau 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
7 Etoile-Carouge 11 3 3 5 10:15 12
8 Rapperswil-Jona 11 3 2 6 17:21 11
9 Wil 11 2 5 4 18:24 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 11 1 2 8 8:28 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)