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Bavois

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stade Payerne play Bavois in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stade Payerne averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Bavois averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, Stade Payerne won 0, Bavois won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 4, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Stade Payerne and 1.81 for Bavois. This points to a Bavois double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Stade Payerne

18%

Draws

46%

Bavois

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bavois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Stade Payerne picked up more points recently compared to Bavois.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Stade Payerne Clean Sheet 11%

Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stade Payerne	Bavois
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	8	13
Draws	9	4
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.16	1.79
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly

Stade Payerne vs Bavois

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Payerne 35 / 100

Bavois 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stade Payerne Bavois

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bavois or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stade Payerne attacking → ← attacking Bavois

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Payerne scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Bavois let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Stade Payerne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bavois lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 43

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00