Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group A

Stade Poitevin

0 - 2

Bayonne

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Saintorens A.

42'

Giacomini A.

84'

Saintorens A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A game between Stade Poitevin and Bayonne finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Stade Poitevin

39%

Draws

30%

Bayonne

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Bayonne carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 17%

Bayonne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stade Poitevin	Bayonne
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	4	16
Draws	11	3
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	1.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 National 2 - Group A

Stade Poitevin vs Bayonne

Possession: 43% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sep 5, 2025 National 2 - Group A

Bayonne vs Stade Poitevin

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Poitevin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Saintorens A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Poitevin 31 / 100

Bayonne 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stade Poitevin Bayonne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayonne let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Stade Poitevin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Stade Poitevin scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stade Poitevin VS Bayonne

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche Vendee	30	19	8	3	61:27	65
2	Bordeaux	30	19	5	6	51:28	62
3	Bayonne	30	17	4	9	42:27	55
4	Saint-Malo	30	13	11	6	43:29	50
5	Les Herbiers	30	14	7	9	45:33	49
6	Angouleme CFC	30	11	10	9	33:36	43
7	Dinan	30	12	5	13	44:45	41
8	Avranches	30	10	10	10	46:41	40
9	Chauray	30	11	5	14	35:38	38
10	St. Colomban Locmine	30	9	10	11	31:34	37
11	Montlouis	30	7	10	13	42:50	31
12	Lorient II	30	9	5	16	38:51	31
13	Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant	30	8	6	16	25:47	30
14	Granville	30	6	11	13	32:41	29
15	Saumur Olympique	30	6	10	14	37:56	28
16	Stade Poitevin	30	5	11	14	21:43	25