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Stadium Background

Stade Poitevin vs Chauray

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gregoire C.
47' Event
Godame T.
66' Event
Lim I.

AI Match Summary

Chauray in this National 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chauray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Stade Poitevin
20%
Draws
38%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Poitevin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Chauray have won more games recently than Stade Poitevin.
  • Model gives Stade Poitevin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 13%
Chauray Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Poitevin Chauray
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Chauray vs Stade Poitevin
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Chauray
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregoire C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Godame T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lim I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Poitevin 40 / 100
Chauray 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Poitevin Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chauray conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Stade Poitevin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chauray's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Poitevin VS Chauray
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Poitevin

(Home)
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Stade Poitevin
1 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
25 Apr
Stade Poitevin
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
18 Apr
Granville
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
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Chauray

(Away)
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
24 Apr
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Chauray
17 Apr
Chauray
0 : 1
Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)