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Stade Soussien vs AS Agareb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Kochbati S.
50' Event
Laabidi N.
73' Event
Romdhani J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Stade Soussien and AS Agareb finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Stade Soussien
35%
Draws
49%
AS Agareb
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Agareb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Agareb come out ahead of Stade Soussien on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Stade Soussien Clean Sheet 14%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Soussien AS Agareb
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 2
Stade Soussien vs AS Agareb
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Soussien Compare

Top Goalscorer Kochbati S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AS Agareb Compare

Top Goalscorer Laabidi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Soussien 30 / 100
AS Agareb 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Soussien AS Agareb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Soussien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Stade Soussien scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

AS Agareb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Stade Soussien remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Soussien VS AS Agareb
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Soussien

(Home)
03 Oct
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Stade Soussien
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3
Stade Soussien

AS Agareb

(Away)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)