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Stade Spiritain vs Diamantinoise

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Spiritain play Diamantinoise in the Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024. Diamantinoise are favorites here. Recently, Stade Spiritain averaged 0.96 goals scored and 2.54 conceded. Diamantinoise averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.58 conceded. In past meetings, Stade Spiritain won 0, Diamantinoise won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 3, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Stade Spiritain and 0.99 for Diamantinoise. This points to a Diamantinoise double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Stade Spiritain
21%
Draws
58%
Diamantinoise
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Diamantinoise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Stade Spiritain picked up more points recently compared to Diamantinoise.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Stade Spiritain Clean Sheet 23%
Diamantinoise Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Spiritain Diamantinoise
Matches Played 26 36
Wins 4 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.96 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.54 2.58

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Stade Spiritain vs Diamantinoise
1:2
Sep 30, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Diamantinoise vs Stade Spiritain
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Spiritain 24 / 100
Diamantinoise 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Spiritain Diamantinoise

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diamantinoise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Diamantinoise & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stade Spiritain attacking → ← attacking Diamantinoise

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Spiritain scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Diamantinoise let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Stade Spiritain went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Diamantinoise lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 27
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38