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Stafford vs Shaw Lane

England England

NPL Premier Division 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Reeves D.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Thompson-Brown R.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Reeves D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2017/2018 game between Stafford and Shaw Lane finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shaw Lane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Stafford
33%
Draws
40%
Shaw Lane
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shaw Lane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shaw Lane come out ahead of Stafford on wins alone.
  • Shaw Lane are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Stafford Clean Sheet 20%
Shaw Lane Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stafford Shaw Lane
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 2 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Shaw Lane
1:2
Sep 23, 2017 NPL Premier Division
Shaw Lane vs Stafford
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stafford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shaw Lane Compare

Top Goalscorer Reeves D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stafford 28 / 100
Shaw Lane 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stafford Shaw Lane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Shaw Lane let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Stafford's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Stafford stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stafford VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stafford

(Home)
14 Jul
Stafford
0 : 0
Shrewsbury
20 Sept
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC
4 : 3
Stafford
06 Sept
Stafford
1 : 0
Boldmere St Michaels
22 Jul
Stafford
0 : 1
Rushall
07 Sept
Walsall Wood
2 : 1
Stafford
Page 1 of 6

Shaw Lane

(Away)
28 Apr
Shaw Lane
2 : 1
Matlock
26 Apr
Shaw Lane
3 : 2
Barwell
24 Apr
Nantwich
2 : 3
Shaw Lane
21 Apr
Stafford
1 : 2
Shaw Lane
19 Apr
Shaw Lane
1 : 2
Altrincham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Altrincham4628117101:4295
2Ashton United4623131085:5982
3Warrington Town4623131072:4982
4Grantham Town462491390:5581
5Farsley4623111287:6980
6Shaw Lane462571479:6279
7Witton Albion4619131483:6370
8Rushall461991873:7966
9Buxton4617131671:6664
10Barwell4617131665:6764
11Stourbridge4616141667:5662
12Workington461882072:6962
13Mickleover4616131768:6061
14Stafford4616131754:5861
15Matlock461862269:7560
16Nantwich461692162:7257
17Hednesford4615121960:7957
18Lancaster4614131966:7255
19Marine4614112167:7853
20Coalville Town461572470:9252
21Whitby4612142060:8250
22Stalybridge461462657:9048
23Halesowen4613102348:7645
24Sutton Coldfield Town461063052:10835
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2017/2018 (Play Offs)