Sport Picks
Stal Krasnik vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
Durda K.
29'
29'
Krol R.
62'
62'
Majewski S.
AI Match Summary
Stal Krasnik in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stal Krasnik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stal Krasnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Naprzod Jedrzejow lately — more wins on the board than Stal Krasnik.
- Stal Krasnik are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 18%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stal Krasnik | Naprzod Jedrzejow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Stal Krasnik
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stal Krasnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Krol R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Majewski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare
Top Goalscorer Durda K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Krzeszowski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stal Krasnik 49 / 100
Naprzod Jedrzejow 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stal Krasnik Naprzod Jedrzejow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stal Krasnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Stal Krasnik went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Naprzod Jedrzejow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Stal Krasnik scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Stal Krasnik VS Naprzod Jedrzejow
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stal Krasnik
(Home) 30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
01 May
Stal Krasnik
3 : 1 Wisloka Debica
19 Apr
Stal Krasnik
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
02 Apr
Stal Krasnik
1 : 2 Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
(Away) 19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
30 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 0 Wisla II
23 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
19 Aug
Moravia Morawica
4 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
08 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
2 : 0 Naprzod Jedrzejow
23 Jul
Arka Pawlow
1 : 4 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
