Sport Picks
Stal Krasnik vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
21'
21'
Marszalik K.
50'
50'
Martinez S.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Stal Krasnik and Siarka Tarnobrzeg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stal Krasnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg carry the better recent record into this one.
- Stal Krasnik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 17%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stal Krasnik | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Stal Krasnik
9:0
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Stal Krasnik
1:0
Apr 3, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0:0
Aug 26, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Stal Krasnik
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stal Krasnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Marszalik K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stal Krasnik 84 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stal Krasnik Siarka Tarnobrzeg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stal Krasnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Stal Krasnik remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Stal Krasnik scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Stal Krasnik VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stal Krasnik
(Home) 30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
01 May
Stal Krasnik
3 : 1 Wisloka Debica
19 Apr
Stal Krasnik
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
02 Apr
Stal Krasnik
1 : 2 Wislanie Skawina
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Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Away) 03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
23 Aug
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
15 Aug
Busko-Zdroj
1 : 4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
