Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stal Mielec vs Puszcza

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Wlazlo P.
55' Event
Trubeha A.
65' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stal Mielec and Puszcza finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puszcza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stal Mielec
30%
Draws
34%
Puszcza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stal Mielec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Puszcza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Stal Mielec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 14%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Puszcza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Puszcza
1:4
May 9, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Puszcza
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Division 1
Puszcza vs Stal Mielec
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Polish Cup
Stal Mielec vs Puszcza
1:2
May 12, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Puszcza vs Stal Mielec
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlazlo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Puszcza Compare

Top Goalscorer Trubeha A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korczakowski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 35 / 100
Puszcza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Puszcza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stal Mielec scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Puszcza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Puszcza has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Puszcza
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4
Avia Swidnik
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 4
Puszcza
04 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 0
Sandecja Nowy S.
01 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 5
Podhale Nowy Targ
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Puszcza

(Away)
19 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 0
Puszcza
11 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 4
Puszcza
08 Jul
Puszcza
0 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
04 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 0
Puszcza
01 Jul
Wisla
4 : 0
Puszcza
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