Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stal Mielec vs Puszcza

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Wlazlo P.
55' Event
Trubeha A.
65' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stal Mielec and Puszcza finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puszcza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Stal Mielec
15%
Draws
73%
Puszcza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puszcza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Puszcza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Puszcza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 13%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Puszcza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Puszcza
1:4
May 9, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Puszcza
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Division 1
Puszcza vs Stal Mielec
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Polish Cup
Stal Mielec vs Puszcza
1:2
May 12, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Puszcza vs Stal Mielec
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlazlo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Puszcza Compare

Top Goalscorer Trubeha A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korczakowski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Puszcza 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Puszcza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puszcza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stal Mielec scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Puszcza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Puszcza has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Puszcza
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
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Puszcza

(Away)
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2
Puszcza
29 Aug
Puszcza
2 : 0
Podbeskidzie
23 Aug
Puszcza
0 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
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