Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stal Mielec vs S. Rzeszow

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kukulka K.
27'
Kwiecien B.
35'
Salamon S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Stal Mielec
20%
Draws
74%
S. Rzeszow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Rzeszow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • S. Rzeszow haven't matched Stal Mielec's recent run of results.
  • Model gives S. Rzeszow a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 12%
S. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec S. Rzeszow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs S. Rzeszow
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs S. Rzeszow
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Division 1
S. Rzeszow vs Stal Mielec
3:2
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
S. Rzeszow vs Stal Mielec
0:5
Nov 17, 2023 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs S. Rzeszow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Puerto I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

S. Rzeszow Compare

Top Goalscorer Goss S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 10 / 100
S. Rzeszow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec S. Rzeszow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Rzeszow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: S. Rzeszow conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Stal Mielec went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS S. Rzeszow
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
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S. Rzeszow

(Away)
02 Oct
MFK Karvina
1 : 1
S. Rzeszow
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Odra Opole
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
01 Sept
S. Rzeszow
3 : 0
Podbeskidzie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)