Sport Picks
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 2 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Welniak K. In: Lacki D.
Out: Welniak K.
23'
23'
Pigiel M.
Own Goal
46'
46'
Sub
Jodlowski K. In: Kryeziu E.
Out: Jodlowski K.
AI Match Summary
The Division 2 game between Stal Stalowa Wola and Avia Swidnik finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stal Stalowa Wola.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Avia Swidnik carry the better recent record into this one.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 11%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stal Stalowa Wola | Avia Swidnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik
4:0
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik
5:1
Apr 22, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola
0:2
Sep 17, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stal Stalowa Wola Compare
Top Goalscorer Hebel M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wolny D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Avia Swidnik Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stal Stalowa Wola 35 / 100
Avia Swidnik 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stal Stalowa Wola Avia Swidnik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Avia Swidnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Stal Stalowa Wola scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Avia Swidnik let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Stal Stalowa Wola remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Stal Stalowa Wola VS Avia Swidnik
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Stal Stalowa Wola
(Home) 10 Oct
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 2 Slask Wroclaw II
04 Oct
Pruszkow
4 : 2 Stal Stalowa Wola
20 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 0 R. Rzeszow
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0 Stal Stalowa Wola
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3 Zawisza
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 2 Slask Wroclaw II
20 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 0 R. Rzeszow
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3 Zawisza
16 Aug
Stal Stalowa Wola
4 : 0 Avia Swidnik
31 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
1 : 2 Tychy
Page 1 of 3
Avia Swidnik
(Away) 10 Oct
Avia Swidnik
1 : 0 Swit Szczecin
03 Oct
R. Rzeszow
1 : 1 Avia Swidnik
18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0 Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
R. Rzeszow
1 : 1 Avia Swidnik
18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0 Avia Swidnik
16 Aug
Stal Stalowa Wola
4 : 0 Avia Swidnik
01 Aug
Leczna
0 : 1 Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pruszkow | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 23 |
| 2 | Tychy | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Leczna | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 5 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Zawisza | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Sandecja Nowy S. | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Hutnik Krakow | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Zielona Gora | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 15 |
| 10 | Chojniczanka | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Ol. Grudziadz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Avia Swidnik | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Legia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17:20 | 9 |
| 16 | Kleczew | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Swit Szczecin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:25 | 8 |
| 18 | R. Rzeszow | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 4 |
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
