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Stal Stalowa Wola vs R. Rzeszow

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stal Stalowa Wola play R. Rzeszow in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stal Stalowa Wola averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. R. Rzeszow averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1, R. Rzeszow won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.00 for R. Rzeszow. This points to a Stal Stalowa Wola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Stal Stalowa Wola
35%
Draws
31%
R. Rzeszow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Stal Stalowa Wola picked up more points recently compared to R. Rzeszow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 23%
R. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Stalowa Wola R. Rzeszow
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 15 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Division 2
R. Rzeszow vs Stal Stalowa Wola
2:2
Oct 31, 2025 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs R. Rzeszow
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Stal Stalowa Wola vs R. Rzeszow
3:3
Jan 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Stal Stalowa Wola vs R. Rzeszow
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
R. Rzeszow vs Stal Stalowa Wola
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibe-Torti K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hrnciar L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

R. Rzeszow Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimnicki B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaroch G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Stalowa Wola 35 / 100
R. Rzeszow 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Stalowa Wola R. Rzeszow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stal Stalowa Wola or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stal Stalowa Wola attacking → ← attacking R. Rzeszow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Stalowa Wola scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

R. Rzeszow let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Stal Stalowa Wola went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

R. Rzeszow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 31
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00