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Stadium Background

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Soberka K. In: Smylek M.
Out: Soberka K.
34'
Czerwik J.
42'
Jankowski B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Stal Stalowa Wola and Tychy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tychy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Stal Stalowa Wola
30%
Draws
51%
Tychy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tychy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Stal Stalowa Wola haven't matched Tychy's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tychy a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 10%
Tychy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Stalowa Wola Tychy
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy
1:2
Apr 9, 2025 Division 1
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Division 1
Tychy vs Stal Stalowa Wola
0:0
Apr 2, 2016 Division 2
Tychy vs Stal Stalowa Wola
2:0
Sep 5, 2015 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaminski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tychy Compare

Top Goalscorer Rygula T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chorosinski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Stalowa Wola 10 / 100
Tychy 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Stalowa Wola Tychy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tychy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stal Stalowa Wola scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Tychy conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Stal Stalowa Wola stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Stalowa Wola VS Tychy
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Stalowa Wola

(Home)
04 Oct
Pruszkow
4 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
20 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 0
R. Rzeszow
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
29 Aug
Hutnik Krakow
2 : 1
Stal Stalowa Wola
Page 1 of 6

Tychy

(Away)
03 Oct
Hutnik Krakow
0 : 2
Tychy
20 Sept
Tychy
0 : 0
Sandecja Nowy S.
11 Sept
Pruszkow
1 : 1
Tychy
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
Avia Swidnik
03 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
LKS Lodz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Leczna 10 6 2 2 21:10 20
3 Tychy 10 5 5 0 14:6 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Zielona Gora 10 4 3 3 20:16 15
9 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
14 Legia II 9 3 0 6 18:17 9
15 Slask Wroclaw II 9 3 0 6 15:17 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)