Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Eemdijk in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eemdijk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Staphorst
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Staphorst have won more games recently than Eemdijk.
- Win probability leans Staphorst's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 11%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Staphorst | Eemdijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Eemdijk
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Staphorst
2:4
Jan 13, 2024 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Eemdijk
3:0
Aug 19, 2023 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Staphorst
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Staphorst 83 / 100
Eemdijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Staphorst Eemdijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Staphorst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Staphorst scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Eemdijk conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Staphorst went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Staphorst VS Eemdijk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Staphorst
(Home) 15 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 2 Staphorst
23 May
Staphorst
2 : 1 Rohda Raalte
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1 Staphorst
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
25 Apr
ADO 20 Heemskerk
2 : 0 Staphorst
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Staphorst
2 : 1 Rohda Raalte
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
18 Apr
Staphorst
0 : 4 Genemuiden
04 Apr
Staphorst
0 : 2 Sportlust
28 Mar
Staphorst
1 : 2 Eemdijk
Page 1 of 3
Eemdijk
(Away) 15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
08 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 1 VV Berkum
01 Aug
Eemdijk
1 : 3 VV DOVO
28 Jul
GVVV
1 : 2 Eemdijk
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 Eemdijk
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
28 Jul
GVVV
1 : 2 Eemdijk
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 Eemdijk
09 May
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 0 Eemdijk
18 Apr
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 1 Eemdijk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
