Sport Picks
Staphorst vs Excelsior 31 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Excelsior 31 in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior 31.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excelsior 31 lately — more wins on the board than Staphorst.
- Excelsior 31 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Staphorst | Excelsior 31 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Excelsior 31
2:4
May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Staphorst
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Excelsior 31
1:3
May 6, 2023 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Staphorst
1:1
Nov 12, 2022 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Excelsior 31
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Staphorst 10 / 100
Excelsior 31 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Staphorst Excelsior 31
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Staphorst scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Excelsior 31 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Staphorst has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Staphorst VS Excelsior 31
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Staphorst
(Home) 17 Oct
Staphorst
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Staphorst
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Staphorst
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 ACV Assen
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 4
Excelsior 31
(Away) 17 Oct
Excelsior 31
5 : 0 Genemuiden
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 23 |
| 2 | VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:15 | 21 |
| 6 | TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Staphorst | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 14 | Eemdijk | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13:28 | 7 |
| 15 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 6 |
| 16 | VV DOVO | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 5 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16:27 | 4 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:28 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Lisse | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:12 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Dongen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 7 | VV Zwaluwen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | 16 |
| 8 | SV Poortugaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 9 | GOES | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:25 | 14 |
| 10 | Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 10 |
| 13 | TOGB | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | 3 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
