Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Staphorst vs Genemuiden

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Staphorst and Genemuiden finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genemuiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Staphorst
20%
Draws
60%
Genemuiden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Genemuiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Genemuiden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staphorst Genemuiden
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Genemuiden
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Genemuiden
0:4
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Staphorst
1:4
Apr 13, 2024 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Genemuiden
0:0
Nov 11, 2023 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Staphorst
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staphorst 10 / 100
Genemuiden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staphorst Genemuiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genemuiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Staphorst found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Genemuiden has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Staphorst went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staphorst VS Genemuiden
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Staphorst

(Home)
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2
UNA
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0
Staphorst
22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4
Excelsior 31
15 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 2
Staphorst
Page 1 of 6

Genemuiden

(Away)
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1
Lisse
29 Aug
Genemuiden
3 : 1
Eemdijk
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4
Genemuiden
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genemuiden 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 Harkemase Boys 4 4 0 0 10:5 12
3 ACV Assen 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Excelsior 31 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
5 VV Scherpenzeel 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
6 Purmersteijn 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 ADO 20 Heemskerk 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
8 TEC 4 2 0 2 9:8 6
9 Sportlust 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
10 Sparta Nijkerk 4 1 2 1 12:12 5
11 VV DOVO 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
12 VV Hoogeveen 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
13 Eemdijk 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
14 Staphorst 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
15 HVV Hollandia 4 0 1 3 10:14 1
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
17 SVZW Wierden 4 0 1 3 8:15 1
18 USV Hercules 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 VV Noordwijk 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
3 SV Poortugaal 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
4 Dongen 4 3 0 1 12:9 9
5 Rijnvogels 4 2 2 0 11:5 8
6 RKSV UDI 19 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 UNA 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
8 Roosendaal 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
9 Excelsior Maassluis 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
10 GOES 4 1 2 1 8:10 5
11 VVSB 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
12 VV Zwaluwen 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
13 Gemert 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
14 Achilles Veen 4 1 0 3 4:13 3
15 TOGB 4 0 2 2 6:9 2
16 Blauw Geel 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
17 Groene Ster 4 0 2 2 8:12 2
18 EVV 4 0 0 4 5:11 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)