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Stadium Background

Staphorst vs Genemuiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Staphorst and Genemuiden finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genemuiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Staphorst
15%
Draws
51%
Genemuiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Genemuiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staphorst Genemuiden
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.59 2.11
Goals Conceded 2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 KNVB Beker
Staphorst vs Genemuiden
2:3
Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Genemuiden
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Genemuiden
0:4
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Staphorst
1:4
Apr 13, 2024 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Genemuiden
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staphorst 29 / 100
Genemuiden 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staphorst Genemuiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Staphorst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Staphorst found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Genemuiden has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Staphorst went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staphorst VS Genemuiden
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Staphorst

(Home)
17 Oct
Staphorst
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Staphorst
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3
TEC
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
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Genemuiden

(Away)
17 Oct
Excelsior 31
5 : 0
Genemuiden
10 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 1
VV DOVO
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)