Sport Picks
Star Starachowice vs Avia Swidnik
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Star Starachowice and Avia Swidnik finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Avia Swidnik come out ahead of Star Starachowice on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Avia Swidnik's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Star Starachowice | Avia Swidnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Star Starachowice Compare
Avia Swidnik Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Star Starachowice scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Avia Swidnik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Star Starachowice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |