Sport Picks
Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
26'
26'
Morag A.
64'
64'
Kaplon S.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Star Starachowice and Busko-Zdroj finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Busko-Zdroj
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Star Starachowice carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 20%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Star Starachowice | Busko-Zdroj |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 20 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Star Starachowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaplon S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Busko-Zdroj Compare
Top Goalscorer Morag A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Star Starachowice 31 / 100
Busko-Zdroj 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Star Starachowice Busko-Zdroj
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Star Starachowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Busko-Zdroj let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.
Star Starachowice found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Star Starachowice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Star Starachowice VS Busko-Zdroj
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Star Starachowice
(Home) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
22 Aug
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Aug
Star Starachowice
2 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
09 Aug
Star Starachowice
0 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
Busko-Zdroj
(Away) 04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0 Wisla II
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
06 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
29 Aug
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
22 Aug
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Aug
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 27:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 10 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
