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Star Starachowice vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Star Starachowice
35%
Draws
40%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have won more games recently than Star Starachowice.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 17%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Star Starachowice Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.34 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:0
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Star Starachowice
6:0
Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Star Starachowice
0:0
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Star Starachowice 31 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Star Starachowice Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Star Starachowice scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Star Starachowice stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Star Starachowice VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Star Starachowice

(Home)
10 Oct
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Star Starachowice
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2
Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3
Wisloka Debica
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Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

(Away)
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)