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Star Starachowice vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Star Starachowice host Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow in the III Liga - Group IV. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Star Starachowice have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.77 conceded recently, against Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's 1.33 scored and 1.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Star Starachowice slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Star Starachowice to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Star Starachowice
20%
Draws
23%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Star Starachowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Star Starachowice come out ahead of Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Star Starachowice taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Star Starachowice here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Star Starachowice Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Star Starachowice
3:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Star Starachowice
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Star Starachowice 85 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Star Starachowice Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Star Starachowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Star Starachowice scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Star Starachowice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Star Starachowice VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Star Starachowice

(Home)
23 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
1 : 2
Star Starachowice
17 Oct
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Korona Kielce II
10 Oct
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Star Starachowice
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2
Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
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Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

(Away)
25 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
17 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
4 : 0
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
10 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
02 Oct
Wisloka Debica
2 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 14 10 4 0 22:6 34
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 14 8 5 1 26:11 29
3 Wisloka Debica 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
4 Naprzod Jedrzejow 14 7 3 4 30:27 24
5 Czarni Polaniec 14 7 3 4 20:18 24
6 Hetman Zamosc 14 6 5 3 26:22 23
7 Wislanie Skawina 14 6 3 5 21:15 21
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 14 6 2 6 22:21 20
9 Wisla II 14 5 4 5 18:19 19
10 Jaroslaw 14 5 2 7 29:26 17
11 Star Starachowice 14 4 5 5 20:21 17
12 Kolbuszowa Dolna 14 3 7 4 14:15 16
13 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 14 4 4 6 14:17 16
14 Korona Kielce II 14 4 2 8 28:33 14
15 Busko-Zdroj 14 4 2 8 20:32 14
16 Biala Podlaska 14 3 4 7 11:20 13
17 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 14 3 2 9 14:26 11
18 Moravia Morawica 14 2 3 9 15:26 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)