Sport Picks
Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
5'
5'
Orlik P.
45'
45'
Boniecki B.
49'
49'
Szynka A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Star Starachowice in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Star Starachowice.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Siarka Tarnobrzeg lately — more wins on the board than Star Starachowice.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 15%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Star Starachowice | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
4:1
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2:0
Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice
2:2
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice
2:2
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Star Starachowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Orlik P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boniecki B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Peciak P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Star Starachowice 35 / 100
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Star Starachowice Siarka Tarnobrzeg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Siarka Tarnobrzeg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Star Starachowice found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: Siarka Tarnobrzeg conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Solid form: Star Starachowice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Star Starachowice VS Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Star Starachowice
(Home) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
22 Aug
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Aug
Star Starachowice
2 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
09 Aug
Star Starachowice
0 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Away) 03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
23 Aug
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
15 Aug
Busko-Zdroj
1 : 4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 27:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 10 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
