Sport Picks
Star Starachowice vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
16'
16'
Stanislawski S.
26'
26'
Szynka A.
(Penalty)
59'
59'
Winsztal P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Star Starachowice and Sparta Kazimierza Wielka finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Star Starachowice.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Star Starachowice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sparta Kazimierza Wielka haven't matched Star Starachowice's recent run of results.
- Model gives Star Starachowice a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 68%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Star Starachowice | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 27 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 3.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
4:0
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Star Starachowice
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Star Starachowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Stanislawski S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Winsztal P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Star Starachowice 95 / 100
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Star Starachowice Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Star Starachowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Star Starachowice found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Star Starachowice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Star Starachowice VS Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Star Starachowice
(Home) 26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
22 Aug
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Aug
Star Starachowice
2 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
09 Aug
Star Starachowice
0 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
(Away) 30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5 Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
25 Apr
Swidniczanka Swidnik
4 : 1 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
12 Apr
Naprzod Jedrzejow
7 : 1 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
