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Starogard Gdanski vs Gedania Gdansk

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sosnowski F.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Zalewski B.
53' Event
Adamik M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Starogard Gdanski and Gedania Gdansk finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gedania Gdansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Starogard Gdanski
39%
Draws
31%
Gedania Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gedania Gdansk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 19%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starogard Gdanski Gedania Gdansk
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 1 16
Draws 6 1
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Gedania Gdansk
1:3
Jan 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Starogard Gdanski vs Gedania Gdansk
0:4
Oct 14, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Starogard Gdanski
3:1
May 14, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Starogard Gdanski
2:4
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Starogard Gdanski vs Gedania Gdansk
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gedania Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zalewski B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adamik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starogard Gdanski 31 / 100
Gedania Gdansk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starogard Gdanski Gedania Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gedania Gdansk has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Starogard Gdanski found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Gedania Gdansk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Starogard Gdanski VS Gedania Gdansk
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Starogard Gdanski

(Home)
21 Feb
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 1
Cartusia Kartuzy
28 Jan
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 4
Starogard Gdanski
08 Jun
Swinoujscie
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
30 May
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 2
Unia Solec Kujawski
25 May
Elana Torun
3 : 0
Starogard Gdanski
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Gedania Gdansk

(Away)
18 Jul
Gedania Gdansk
3 : 1
Jaguar Gdansk
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
31 Jan
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
07 Jun
Gedania Gdansk
1 : 5
Lech Poznan II
01 Jun
Swinoujscie
3 : 4
Gedania Gdansk
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