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Starogard Gdanski vs Stolem Gniewino

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Patelczyk K.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Chacinski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 game between Starogard Gdanski and Stolem Gniewino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Starogard Gdanski
17%
Draws
13%
Stolem Gniewino
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Starogard Gdanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Starogard Gdanski haven't matched Stolem Gniewino's recent run of results.
  • Starogard Gdanski are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 10%
Stolem Gniewino Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starogard Gdanski Stolem Gniewino
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Stolem Gniewino
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Stolem Gniewino vs Starogard Gdanski
2:3
May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Stolem Gniewino
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Stolem Gniewino vs Starogard Gdanski
0:1
Apr 23, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Stolem Gniewino vs Starogard Gdanski
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacinski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Stolem Gniewino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starogard Gdanski 65 / 100
Stolem Gniewino 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starogard Gdanski Stolem Gniewino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Stolem Gniewino has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Starogard Gdanski found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Stolem Gniewino has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Starogard Gdanski VS Stolem Gniewino
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713