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Start W vs Arna-Bjornar W

Norway Norway

Division 1 Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Start W play Arna-Bjornar W in the Division 1 Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Start W averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Arna-Bjornar W averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Start W won 1, Arna-Bjornar W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Start W and 1.00 for Arna-Bjornar W. This points to a Arna-Bjornar W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Start W
40%
Draws
30%
Arna-Bjornar W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Arna-Bjornar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Start W picked up more points recently compared to Arna-Bjornar W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Start W Clean Sheet 23%
Arna-Bjornar W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start W Arna-Bjornar W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.74 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 1 Women
Start W vs Arna-Bjornar W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Division 1 Women
Arna-Bjornar W vs Start W
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 1 Women
Start W vs Arna-Bjornar W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Start W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedeler J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Arna-Bjornar W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start W 32 / 100
Arna-Bjornar W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start W Arna-Bjornar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arna-Bjornar W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Start W attacking → ← attacking Arna-Bjornar W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Start W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Arna-Bjornar W let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Start W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arna-Bjornar W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 56
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Start W1192025:1129
2Asane W1073020:624
3Viking W1072131:1123
4Arna-Bjornar W1162325:1120
5Tromso W1052320:917
6Odds BK W1144316:1416
7Bryne W114259:1414
8Kolbotn W1132617:1811
9Grei W1131722:2510
10Fyllingsdalen W1130812:289
11Klepp W1020812:376
12Frigg W1110105:303