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Staten Island ASC vs Ironbound SC

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USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Staten Island ASC and Ironbound SC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ironbound SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Staten Island ASC
6%
Draws
90%
Ironbound SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ironbound SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ironbound SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ironbound SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Staten Island ASC Clean Sheet 10%
Ironbound SC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staten Island ASC Ironbound SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 USL League Two
Ironbound SC vs Staten Island ASC
3:0
May 16, 2026 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Ironbound SC
2:3
May 28, 2025 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Ironbound SC
2:0
Jun 18, 2024 USL League Two
Ironbound SC vs Staten Island ASC
1:3
May 29, 2024 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Ironbound SC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staten Island ASC 10 / 100
Ironbound SC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staten Island ASC Ironbound SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironbound SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Staten Island ASC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Staten Island ASC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staten Island ASC VS Ironbound SC
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%