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Stauceni vs National Ialoveni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stauceni host National Ialoveni in the Liga 1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Stauceni at 2 goals for, 1.66 against; National Ialoveni at 1.11 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Stauceni have won 1 to National Ialoveni's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.50, favoring Stauceni. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Stauceni
15%
Draws
39%
National Ialoveni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stauceni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Stauceni have won more games recently than National Ialoveni.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Stauceni taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 16%
National Ialoveni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stauceni National Ialoveni
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 11 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga 1
National Ialoveni vs Stauceni
1:0
Aug 1, 2026 Liga 1
Stauceni vs National Ialoveni
1:1
Sep 30, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Stauceni vs National Ialoveni
7:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stauceni 48 / 100
National Ialoveni 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stauceni National Ialoveni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stauceni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Stauceni scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

National Ialoveni let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Stauceni went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stauceni VS National Ialoveni
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stauceni

(Home)
09 Oct
Oguzsport
2 : 2
Stauceni
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
Stauceni
1 : 2
FC Chisinau
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
Page 1 of 6

National Ialoveni

(Away)
10 Oct
Falesti
3 : 1
National Ialoveni
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 2
FC Congaz
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 9 7 1 1 29:14 22
2 Iskra Ribnita 9 6 0 3 22:9 18
3 FCM Ungheni 9 4 2 3 24:18 14
4 Zimbru Chisinau 2 9 3 1 5 16:21 10
5 Univer Comrat 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
6 Sparta Selemet 9 1 1 7 11:38 4
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Stauceni 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
3 Falesti 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
4 National Ialoveni 7 2 1 4 6:9 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)