Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SteDoCo vs Dongen

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Martens T.
30' Event
van Nuland J.
Own Goal
48' Event
van Zeelst S.

AI Match Summary

Dongen in this KNVB Beker 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
SteDoCo
20%
Draws
56%
Dongen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dongen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Dongen average 1.76 goals a game right now, well clear of SteDoCo's 1.29.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Dongen taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Dongen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
SteDoCo Clean Sheet 10%
Dongen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SteDoCo Dongen
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2022 KNVB Beker
SteDoCo vs Dongen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SteDoCo Compare

Top Goalscorer van Zeelst S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dongen Compare

Top Goalscorer Martens T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SteDoCo 10 / 100
Dongen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SteDoCo Dongen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dongen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dongen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

SteDoCo scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SteDoCo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SteDoCo VS Dongen
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SteDoCo

(Home)
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
23 May
SteDoCo
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 7

Dongen

(Away)
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2
Gemert
23 Aug
EVV
2 : 3
Dongen
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
06 Jun
VV Heerjansdam
1 : 2
Dongen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
USV Hercules 5
Ter Leede 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Eindhoven FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
Watergraafsmeer 1
HSV Hoek 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
SVV Scheveningen -
TBD -
TBD -
Harkemase Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
HSC '21 -
TBD -
TBD -
RKAV Volendam -
Groene Ster 2
Barendrecht 0
TBD -
HV & CV Quick -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
VV Noordwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waalwijk -
Rijnvogels -
TBD -
TBD -
ACV Assen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Nijkerk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
GVV Unitas -
TBD -
TBD -
DEM -
Blauw Geel -
TBD -
TBD -
Baronie -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
OJC Rosmalen 1
Sportlust 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
Dordrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
VV DOVO -
TBD -
TBD -
Spakenburg -
TEC -
TBD -
TBD -
UNA -
Gemert -
TBD -
TBD -
Urk -
AFC -
TBD -
Staphorst 3
TOGB 0
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisse -
TBD -
TBD -
DVS '33 Ermelo -
OFC Oostzaan -
TBD -
TBD -
RKSV UDI 19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSV -
SteDoCo -
TBD -
TBD -
Dongen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 4
VVOG 3
TBD -
VVSB -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
ASWH -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
FC OSS '20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior 31 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
1/64-finals
Excelsior Maassluis 1
USV Hercules 2
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Eindhoven FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
IJsselmeervogels 0
HSV Hoek 1
TBD -
Heerenveen -
SVV Scheveningen 1
Harkemase Boys 2
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
HSC '21 2
RKAV Volendam 3
Groene Ster 1
HV & CV Quick 3
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
De Treffers 3
VV Noordwijk 1
TBD -
Waalwijk -
Rijnvogels 1
ACV Assen 0
TBD -
Cambuur -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
GVVV 1
Sparta Nijkerk 0
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
GVV Unitas 0
DEM 1
Blauw Geel 4
Baronie 0
Quick Boys 1
Sportlust 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
Dordrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
VV DOVO 0
Spakenburg 1
TEC 1
UNA 0
Gemert 1
Urk 2
AFC 4
Staphorst 5
Katwijk -
TBD -
Lisse 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 3
OFC Oostzaan 6
RKSV UDI 19 2
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSV -
SteDoCo 1
Dongen 2
TBD -
Venlo -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 3
VVSB 0
TBD -
FC Emmen -
ASWH 1
Kozakken Boys 2
TBD -
Vitesse -
FC OSS '20 1
Excelsior 31 2
TBD -
Den Haag -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
1/32-finals
USV Hercules 0
NAC Breda 1
Eindhoven FC 1
Willem II 0
HSV Hoek 2
Heerenveen 4
Harkemase Boys 1
FC Volendam 5
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Hardenberg 0
Zwolle 1
Almere City 2
TOP Oss 0
Nijmegen 3
Sittard 2
RKAV Volendam 2
HV & CV Quick 4
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
De Graafschap 3
De Treffers 2
Waalwijk 0
Rijnvogels 0
Cambuur 3
Twente -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC 0
Telstar 1
GVVV 1
Den Bosch 3
TBD -
Ajax -
Excelsior 5
Maastricht 1
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
DEM 1
Blauw Geel 4
Sportlust 0
Utrecht 3
Dordrecht 0
Groningen 3
Spakenburg 2
TEC 1
Urk 2
Staphorst 0
Katwijk 2
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
OFC Oostzaan 1
Sparta Rotterdam 3
TBD -
PSV -
Dongen 1
Venlo 2
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
FC Emmen 2
Kozakken Boys 3
Vitesse 2
Excelsior 31 2
Den Haag 3
Roda 2
Heracles 3
G.A. Eagles 3
Helmond Sport 1
1/16-finals
NAC Breda 2
Eindhoven FC 1
Heerenveen 2
FC Volendam 0
Feyenoord 3
Zwolle 1
Almere City 0
Nijmegen 4
HV & CV Quick 1
De Graafschap 4
De Treffers 1
Cambuur 0
Twente 3
Telstar 1
Den Bosch 0
Ajax 2
Excelsior 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Blauw Geel 1
Utrecht 3
Groningen 2
Spakenburg 3
Urk 0
Katwijk 3
Sparta Rotterdam 1
PSV 2
Venlo 2
FC Emmen 3
Kozakken Boys 1
Den Haag 3
Heracles 0
G.A. Eagles 1
1/8-finals
NAC Breda 1
Heerenveen 2
Feyenoord 5
Nijmegen 4
De Graafschap 3
De Treffers 0
Twente 0
Ajax 1
AZ Alkmaar 1
Utrecht 2
Spakenburg 2
Katwijk 1
PSV 3
FC Emmen 1
Den Haag 1
G.A. Eagles 0
Quarter-finals
Heerenveen 0
Feyenoord 1
De Graafschap 0
Ajax 3
Utrecht 1
Spakenburg 4
PSV 3
Den Haag 1
Semi-finals
Feyenoord 1
Ajax 2
Spakenburg 1
PSV 2
Final
Ajax 1
PSV 2