Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SteDoCo vs DVS '33 Ermelo

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
van Essen J.
91' Event
van Hilten N.

AI Match Summary

DVS '33 Ermelo in this KNVB Beker 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SteDoCo
35%
Draws
19%
DVS '33 Ermelo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SteDoCo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to DVS '33 Ermelo lately — more wins on the board than SteDoCo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • DVS '33 Ermelo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SteDoCo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
SteDoCo Clean Sheet 11%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SteDoCo DVS '33 Ermelo
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 KNVB Beker
SteDoCo vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:2
Dec 10, 2022 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:0
Aug 20, 2022 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs SteDoCo
0:0
Apr 18, 2022 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs SteDoCo
3:1
Nov 20, 2021 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs DVS '33 Ermelo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SteDoCo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

DVS '33 Ermelo Compare

Top Goalscorer van Essen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Hilten N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SteDoCo 35 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SteDoCo DVS '33 Ermelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SteDoCo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

DVS '33 Ermelo let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

SteDoCo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SteDoCo VS DVS '33 Ermelo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SteDoCo

(Home)
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
23 May
SteDoCo
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 7

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Away)
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1
Harkemase Boys
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
30 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Aalsmeer 2
HZVV Hoogeveen 4
TBD -
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Walcheren 1
VV Noordwijk 3
TBD -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
USV Hercules 4
GOES 0
TBD -
Spakenburg -
RKVV Erp 0
VV DOVO 4
TEC 3
SV Poortugaal 2
Rohda Raalte 4
HVV Hollandia 1
SteDoCo 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
SV Juliana 31 0
Meerssen 2
Gemert 2
Huizen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Harkemase Boys 0
Sparta Nijkerk 1
VV Kloetinge 3
DVO 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
HSV Hoek 6
Rijnvogels 4
Blauw Geel 2
VVOG 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Lisse 1
Westlandia 0
VV Zwaluwen 1
Urk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
VVSB 1
Capelle 2
SVV Scheveningen 2
Staphorst 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
De Foresters 2
VV Scherpenzeel 3
VV Hoogeveen 6
Velocitas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
TOGB 1
RKSV UDI 19 3
Sportlust 4
Sportclub 25 1
Kozakken Boys 4
Kampong 0
TBD -
Barendrecht -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
Eemdijk 4
Dongen 0
DZOH Emmen 2
Excelsior 31 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Willem II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Heino 3
Groene Ster 4
IJsselmeervogels 0
Genemuiden 1
RKSV Halsteren 3
ACV Assen 1
AWC 0
ASWH 2
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
Roosendaal 2
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
Olde Veste 0
HSC '21 3
't Zand 4
Mierlo-Hout 2
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
UNA 1
ARC 2
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/64-finals
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
HZVV Hoogeveen 1
Excelsior Maassluis 5
TBD -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
VV Noordwijk 0
Hardenberg 2
TBD -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
USV Hercules 1
Spakenburg 3
VV DOVO 1
TEC 0
Rohda Raalte 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
TBD -
Twente -
Meerssen 0
Gemert 1
TBD -
Sittard -
Sparta Nijkerk 4
VV Kloetinge 3
TBD -
Almere City -
HSV Hoek 1
Blauw Geel 0
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Lisse 4
Urk 1
TBD -
Telstar -
Capelle 5
SVV Scheveningen 1
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
VV Scherpenzeel 3
VV Hoogeveen 4
TBD -
FC Emmen -
RKSV UDI 19 0
Sportlust 1
Kozakken Boys 2
Barendrecht 3
De Treffers 6
RKAV Volendam 3
TBD -
Maastricht -
Eemdijk 2
Excelsior 31 1
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Willem II -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Groene Ster 1
Genemuiden 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
ASWH 2
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roosendaal 0
GVVV 1
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
HSC '21 3
't Zand 1
Koninklijke HFC 5
ARC 0
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/32-finals
Helmond Sport 1
Zwolle 4
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Excelsior 0
TBD -
Ajax -
Hardenberg 0
TOP Oss 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
Spakenburg 5
VV DOVO 1
Rohda Raalte 1
Twente 4
Gemert 0
Sittard 1
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Almere City 2
HSV Hoek 3
Eindhoven FC 2
Lisse 0
Telstar 5
Capelle 1
Roda 5
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda 1
Heracles 4
VV Hoogeveen 1
FC Emmen 0
Sportlust 1
Barendrecht 0
De Treffers 3
Maastricht 1
Eemdijk 1
AFC 2
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
Nijmegen 3
Willem II 7
Dordrecht 0
Sparta Rotterdam 5
Groningen 2
Quick Boys 1
FC Volendam 2
Genemuiden 1
RKSV Halsteren 0
Den Bosch 4
Den Haag 3
Katwijk 2
Vitesse 1
PSV -
TBD -
GVVV 4
De Graafschap 2
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Venlo 0
Heerenveen 3
HSC '21 3
Koninklijke HFC 0
Waalwijk 3
Cambuur 2
1/16-finals
Zwolle 1
AZ Alkmaar 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Ajax 7
TOP Oss 0
Utrecht 2
Spakenburg 3
Twente 6
Sittard 2
Almere City 3
HSV Hoek 1
Telstar 4
Roda 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Heracles 4
VV Hoogeveen 1
Sportlust 0
De Treffers 1
AFC 1
Nijmegen 3
Willem II 1
Sparta Rotterdam 5
FC Volendam 2
Genemuiden 0
Den Bosch 2
Katwijk 1
PSV 3
GVVV 0
Feyenoord 2
Heerenveen 3
HSC '21 0
Waalwijk 9
1/8-finals
AZ Alkmaar 6
Ajax 0
Utrecht 1
Twente 2
Almere City 1
Telstar 3
G.A. Eagles 3
Heracles 2
De Treffers 1
Nijmegen 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
FC Volendam 2
Den Bosch 1
PSV 4
Heerenveen 3
Waalwijk 1
Quarter-finals
AZ Alkmaar 2
Twente 1
Telstar 2
G.A. Eagles 1
Nijmegen 1
FC Volendam 0
PSV 4
Heerenveen 1
Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar 2
Telstar 1
Nijmegen 3
PSV 2
Final
AZ Alkmaar 5
Nijmegen 1