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Steel City vs Toledo Villa

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Steel City and Toledo Villa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Steel City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Steel City
6%
Draws
4%
Toledo Villa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Steel City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Steel City come out ahead of Toledo Villa on wins alone.
  • Steel City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Steel City have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Steel City Clean Sheet 20%
Toledo Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steel City Toledo Villa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 USL League Two
Steel City vs Toledo Villa
2:1
Jun 19, 2025 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Steel City
2:3
May 28, 2025 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Steel City
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steel City 85 / 100
Toledo Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steel City Toledo Villa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Steel City scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Toledo Villa conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Toledo Villa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Steel City VS Toledo Villa
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%