Sport Picks

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Steinfort vs Ettelbruck

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Ettelbruck advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Steinfort
15%
Draws
85%
Ettelbruck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ettelbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ettelbruck carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ettelbruck arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ettelbruck, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ettelbruck here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Steinfort Clean Sheet 10%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steinfort Ettelbruck
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2016 Luxembourg Cup
Steinfort vs Ettelbruck
1:4
Feb 27, 2010 Luxembourg Cup
Steinfort vs Ettelbruck
0:1
Mar 15, 2009 BGL Ligue
Steinfort vs Ettelbruck
1:1
Sep 21, 2008 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Steinfort
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steinfort 30 / 100
Ettelbruck 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steinfort Ettelbruck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ettelbruck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ettelbruck let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ettelbruck lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Steinfort scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Steinfort VS Ettelbruck
0 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Steinfort

(Home)
05 Oct
Steinfort
0 : 3
Hesperange
30 Sept
Steinfort
0 : 1
Bettembourg
01 Oct
Steinfort
0 : 8
Mondercange
18 Oct
Steinfort
1 : 3
Jeunesse Junglinster
10 Nov
Steinfort
0 : 2
Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 6

Ettelbruck

(Away)
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
23 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1
Kaerjeng
16 Aug
Hostert
5 : 1
Ettelbruck
09 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
01 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Grevenmacher 4
Mertzig 2
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Clemency 2
Rumelange 3
Wiltz 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Dudelange 3
Erpeldange 1
Mondorf 0
Luxembourg City 2
Kaerjeng 3
Schifflange 1
Avenir Beggen 1
Fola 2
Ettelbruck 1
Steinfort 0
Lintgen 1
CS Petange 3
Diekirch 3
Jeunesse Esch 2
Esch 0
Hesperange 1
Mondercange 4
Echternach 2
Gasperich 0
Progres Niedercorn 7
Oberkorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Bissen 1
Differdange 6
1/8-finals
Grevenmacher 4
Clemency 1
Rumelange 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Dudelange 2
Luxembourg City 1
Kaerjeng 2
Fola 4
Ettelbruck 2
CS Petange 1
Diekirch 1
Hesperange 2
Mondercange 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Oberkorn 0
Differdange 3
Quarter-finals
Grevenmacher 4
Jeunesse Canach 2
Dudelange 2
Fola 3
Ettelbruck 2
Hesperange 1
Mondercange 0
Differdange 3
Semi-finals
Grevenmacher 5
Fola 1
Ettelbruck 1
Differdange 3
Final
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1