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Steinkjer vs Kristiansund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Sorkilfla M.
50' Event
Sorkilfla M.
66' Event
Kjol M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2023 game between Steinkjer and Kristiansund 2 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Steinkjer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Steinkjer
15%
Draws
59%
Kristiansund 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kristiansund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Steinkjer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kristiansund 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Steinkjer Clean Sheet 10%
Kristiansund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steinkjer Kristiansund 2
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 5
Draws 2 11
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.57 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.17 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Kristiansund 2
4:2
Apr 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Kristiansund 2 vs Steinkjer
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Steinkjer Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorkilfla M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grotan Kvistad S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Kristiansund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjol M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steinkjer 10 / 100
Kristiansund 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steinkjer Kristiansund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kristiansund 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kristiansund 2 conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Steinkjer's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Steinkjer remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Steinkjer VS Kristiansund 2
0 Goals Scored 0.88
6 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Steinkjer

(Home)
22 Aug
Steinkjer
0 : 6
Ranheim
29 Oct
Steinkjer
0 : 1
Verdal
22 Oct
Bodo/Glimt 2
8 : 0
Steinkjer
14 Oct
Steinkjer
2 : 4
Rana FK
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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Kristiansund 2

(Away)
25 Oct
Kristiansund 2
1 : 1
Aalesund 2
18 Oct
Spjelkavik
1 : 0
Kristiansund 2
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
05 Oct
Kristiansund 2
1 : 0
Trygg/Lade
29 Sept
Byasen
1 : 0
Kristiansund 2
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