Sport Picks

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

Sat, Jul 25, 2026

1 - 0

02:00 PM

Livingston

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Sub

Anderson M. In: Robson F.

Out: Anderson M.

47'

Penman C.

49'

Muirhead R.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Stenhousemuir

15%

Draws

31%

Livingston

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Stenhousemuir lately — more wins on the board than Livingston.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Livingston, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 20%

Livingston Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stenhousemuir	Livingston
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	20	10
Draws	5	8
Losses	3	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.61
Goals Conceded	0.68	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Championship

Livingston vs Stenhousemuir

0:1

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston

1:0

Jan 21, 2023 Scottish Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston

1:3

Nov 10, 2020 League Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston

0:4

Apr 15, 2017 League One

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 32 / 100

Livingston 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stenhousemuir Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenhousemuir's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Livingston conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Stenhousemuir remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Livingston

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)

25 Sept

Ayr

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

19 Sept

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Arbroath

15 Sept

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Partick

11 Sept

Stenhousemuir

0 : 3

Hearts

04 Sept

Livingston

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

Page 1 of 6

Livingston

(Away)

03 Oct

Livingston

1 : 2

Ayr

25 Sept

Raith

0 : 2

Livingston

19 Sept

Livingston

2 : 2

Inverness

11 Sept

Morton

1 : 4

Livingston

04 Sept

Livingston

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

Page 1 of 6