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Stenhousemuir vs Livingston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stenhousemuir host Livingston in the Championship. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Stenhousemuir at 1.45 goals for, 0.72 against; Livingston at 1.59 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Livingston slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.94) back Stenhousemuir to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Stenhousemuir
15%
Draws
37%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Livingston haven't matched Stenhousemuir's recent run of results.
  • Livingston are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 20%
Livingston Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Livingston
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Championship
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
1:0
Jan 21, 2023 Scottish Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
1:3
Nov 10, 2020 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
0:4
Apr 15, 2017 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 28 / 100
Livingston 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stenhousemuir scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Livingston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stenhousemuir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Livingston
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)
10 Oct
Inverness
2 : 0
Stenhousemuir
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Livingston

(Away)
10 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 9 7 1 1 12:4 22
2 Raith 10 6 2 2 15:6 20
3 Partick 9 5 3 1 10:3 18
4 Livingston 10 4 1 5 14:11 13
5 Dunfermline 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
6 Inverness 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
7 Ayr 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
8 Arbroath 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
9 Queen's Park 10 2 1 7 6:16 7
10 Morton 10 1 1 8 7:18 4
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)