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Stadium Background

Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Ochilview Park
Sat, May 9, 2026
3 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Aitken M.
Assist: Bilham K.
19'
Bilham K.
22' Event
Clark N.

AI Match Summary

Stenhousemuir in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stenhousemuir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Stenhousemuir
6%
Draws
4%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir have won more games recently than Queen of the South.
  • Model gives Stenhousemuir a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 18%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Queen of the South
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Championship
Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South
3:2
May 5, 2026 Championship
Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Aitken M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whyte O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 85 / 100
Queen of the South 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Queen of the South

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stenhousemuir scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Queen of the South conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stenhousemuir stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Queen of the South
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Airdrieonians1
Alloa3
Stenhousemuir4
Queen of the South3
Final
Alloa2
Stenhousemuir3