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Stenungsunds IF vs Ahlafors Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nilsson J.
21' Event
Wadensten J.
42' Event
Akerman O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Stenungsunds IF and Ahlafors finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Stenungsunds IF
15%
Draws
48%
Ahlafors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahlafors come out ahead of Stenungsunds IF on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 15%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Ahlafors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.62 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Ahlafors
0:4
Aug 16, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Stenungsunds IF
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Ahlafors
0:0
Oct 1, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Stenungsunds IF
3:2
Jun 17, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Ahlafors
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wadensten J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 35 / 100
Ahlafors 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Ahlafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenungsunds IF's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ahlafors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Stenungsunds IF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stenungsunds IF VS Ahlafors
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenungsunds IF

(Home)
03 Oct
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
IFK Skovde
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
Page 1 of 6

Ahlafors

(Away)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 24 8 4 12 30:40 28
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 24 6 7 11 23:42 25
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)